Tuesday, December 12, 2006

You win battles by knowing the enemy's timing...

It's become abundantly clear that Federal and Quebec political parties have begun to consider election timing.

Angelo Persichilli, a very astute political pundit writes that Stephen Harper and Jean Charest are on the verge of triggering elections.

There's substantial evidence supporting Mr. Persichilli's analysis on a spring election call in Quebec. Premier Charest has invoked closure on 3 controversial pieces of Quebec legislation which Radio-Canada suggests is the prelude to an election call in February just before the Quebec National Assembly resumes.

However, the crystal ball on the Federal strategy is a little fuzzier.

Mr. Persichilli suggested in yesterday's Toronto Sun, the Harper Government would go to the polls after the Quebec Provincial election. Mr. Persichilli added that he didn't foresee any dramatic moves from the Bloc Quebecois before spring.

That sounded pretty accurate to me as well, however Gilles Duceppe began threatening to topple Harper government over the one single issue which could force the Liberals and NDP to support: Afghanistan.

The Bloc is banking on the fact that Quebecers have been less supportive than other Canadians about the mission, and opposition in the province will most likely deepen as more soldiers from Quebec are deployed to Afghanistan.

Of course, it would be in the Bloc's interest to force an election call now for other reasons as well, one being the Liberal leader was elected party leader just weeks ago.

I agree with Mr. Persichilli the next 10 months will be volatile and interesting times for Canada.

It's any one's guess as to exactly when the election calls will be made, however it's clear the momentum is building for the election calls.

At this point it's not will they call and election it's "when" they will call the election, it's really all about timing.

“You win battles by knowing the enemy's timing, and using a timing which the enemy does not expect.”
- Miyamoto Musashi, (1584-1645) martial arts expert and swordsman.